Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.241980 3.303918e-01 0.434465 0.563908 0.718471 0.895071 1.110006
2025-12-28 0.126898 2.272306e-01 0.366458 0.563833 0.826517 1.154619 1.585530
2026-01-04 0.064036 1.573172e-01 0.311631 0.559248 0.921104 1.406453 2.081495
2026-01-11 0.028211 1.039079e-01 0.257129 0.535897 0.980225 1.614335 2.539235
2026-01-18 0.011250 6.944679e-02 0.216720 0.519467 1.040984 1.825318 3.014347
2026-01-25 0.004243 4.934212e-02 0.192809 0.522112 1.127529 2.077004 3.559984
2026-02-01 0.000931 3.142196e-02 0.161618 0.500127 1.166580 2.256825 4.010136
2026-02-08 0.000207 2.424584e-02 0.154276 0.523961 1.286132 2.567585 4.666910
2026-02-15 0.000007 1.672871e-02 0.139082 0.525109 1.362501 2.812320 5.234122
2026-02-22 NaN 1.424390e-02 0.141113 0.567659 1.520828 3.198873 6.032650
2026-03-01 NaN 1.110874e-02 0.137025 0.593173 1.647336 3.537919 6.769089
2026-03-08 NaN 7.707399e-03 0.126800 0.599051 1.733894 3.812543 7.413225
2026-03-15 NaN 4.521431e-03 0.111520 0.586897 1.783943 4.031183 7.984596
2026-03-22 NaN 2.957283e-03 0.104502 0.597720 1.883959 4.342519 8.716243
2026-03-29 NaN 1.698183e-03 0.095385 0.598582 1.961574 4.617094 9.396822
2026-04-05 NaN 6.874402e-04 0.081430 0.576910 1.984955 4.793734 9.921928
2026-04-12 NaN 2.279275e-04 0.070421 0.561030 2.018949 4.990193 10.484731
2026-04-19 NaN 7.676623e-05 0.064798 0.564564 2.099492 5.276498 11.205394
2026-04-26 NaN 4.918995e-06 0.054386 0.541694 2.111309 5.431953 11.708383
2026-05-03 NaN 6.906375e-07 0.054133 0.567099 2.248431 5.833570 12.640833
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.049508 0.568414 2.322647 6.115233 13.373637
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.052801 0.613442 2.516219 6.637102 14.531638
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.052810 0.640414 2.663032 7.070762 15.544751